Nifty 50 Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 29, 2025

Nifty 50 Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 29, 2025

NIFTY 50 – Daily Chart Analysis (as of July 20, 2025)

 

📉 Price Action

  • Current Price: 24,968.40
  • High/Low of Day: 25,144.60 / 24,918.65
  • Daily Change: -143.05 (-0.57%)
  • POC (Point of Control): Around 24,526.85
  • Volume Profile: Shows highest volume accumulation between 24,400–24,900 zone, indicating a strong demand/supply region.

 

🔍 Key Observations

 

1. Trend Structure

  • The Nifty formed a double top around the 25,750–25,800 level (June highs).
  • Recent price action has been bearish, with lower highs and lower lows forming.
  • A clear break below the 20 EMA and nearing the 50 EMA, suggesting weakening momentum.

 

2. Volume Profile Analysis

  • Heavy volume concentration between 24,500–24,900, acting as both support and resistance.
  • POC at ~24,526: If broken, a strong selloff could follow.

 

3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Immediate Resistance:
    • 25,206 (20 EMA)
    • 24,968 (Current price zone)
  • Immediate Supports:
    • 24,526 (POC and lower volume shelf)
    • 24,106 (200 EMA – significant long-term support)

 

4. Indicators & Patterns

  • TD Sequential Count: Bearish signals visible (red count leading into setup 9).
  • Bearish Divergence likely in play as price rallied but momentum waned.
  • Price may retest 24,526 and possibly fall toward 24,100 as drawn with the green arrow.

 

📉 Short-Term Outlook (Next Week)

  • Bias: Bearish to Neutral
  • If Nifty breaks below 24,526, we may see a fast move toward 24,100–24,000 zone.
  • Upside is capped unless we break above 25,200 convincingly with volume.

 

✅ Strategy Zone

ScenarioTrigger LevelAction
BreakdownBelow 24,526Sell/Short Target 24,100
Reversal/Support BounceAround 24,526Cautious Long (tight SL)
Bullish ReversalAbove 25,200Buy with target 25,500+
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