Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 29, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 29, 2025

  • Jul 20, 2025
  • Sigbal by Sigbal
  • Crypto

Chart shows BTC/USDT on the daily timeframe with a high density of technical indicators and annotations. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:

 

🧠 Technical Highlights:

 

1. Current Price

  • BTC/USDT: $118,111
  • Modest green candle today (+0.23%), suggesting a pause or mild continuation of trend.

2. Support & Resistance Zones

  • Immediate Resistance: Around $120,000 – $124,000
  • Major Support Levels:
    • $114,722 (orange line)
    • $110,014
    • $104,948
    • $98,127 (200-day MA – strong dynamic support)

 

3. Volume Profile (on right)

  • Highest trading activity occurred around $102,000–$108,000, indicating a strong demand zone below current price.

 

4. Chart Pattern

  • Double Bottom/V-Shape Recovery: Seen between March–April
  • Breakout Rally: Since early July, price has made a higher high above June resistance.

 

5. TD Sequential Indicator

  • Multiple green '9's and '13's in recent candles indicate exhaustion of bullish momentum might be approaching soon (potential short-term pullback or consolidation).

 

6. Moving Averages

  • Price is above all key MAs (20, 50, 100, 200), showing strong bullish momentum.
  • 200 MA (blue) is flattening upwards, confirming long-term bullish structure.

🔍 Possible Scenarios

 

Bullish Continuation

  • If BTC sustains above $114,700, next leg could target $124,000–$128,000 zone.

 

⚠️ Pullback Risk

  • TD Sequential exhaustion + resistance at $120k zone could trigger a pullback.
  • Support zone to watch: $110,000 – $104,000 (could be good dip-buy zone).

 

📌 Summary

  • Trend: Bullish
  • Momentum: Strong but nearing exhaustion (watch for signs of pullback)
  • Bias: Buy-the-dip above $104k; avoid chasing unless breakout above $120k is confirmed with volume.

 

Forecast for the upcoming week:

 

📈 Expected Move: Bullish Continuation with Caution

 

Base Scenario: Upward Continuation to $120K–$124K
  • Momentum: Still bullish (price above all major MAs, strong breakout confirmed).
  • Volume Profile: Thin resistance above $118K suggests a push toward $120,000–$124,000.
  • Wave Structure (Elliott or TD): Price seems to be in the final leg (Wave 5 or TD 7–9); may see a short-term top mid-week.
 
🔄 Short-Term Pullback Zone
  • If rejection occurs at ~$120K:
    • Support test at $114,700 or $110,000 is likely.
    • Could consolidate between $110K–$120K before final breakout attempt.

 

🔍 Key Price Levels:

 

TypeLevel (USDT)Description
🔼 Resistance$124,000Final upside target this week
🔼 Resistance$120,000Immediate breakout point
🔽 Support$114,722First dip-buy opportunity
🔽 Major Support$110,014Strong bullish defense zone
🟦 Demand Cluster$104,948 – $108,000High volume node support

Weekly Price Projection:

 

Date RangeLikely Market Action
Mon–TueTest or hover near $120K. Watch for rejection signs
Wed–ThuPullback likely (toward $114K–$110K) or breakout above $120K
Fri–SunBounce recovery or second breakout attempt toward $124K

🧠 Analyst Note:

 

  • BTC remains in a strong uptrend, supported by major moving averages.
  • Short-term indicators (e.g., TD Sequential, overbought RSI) hint at a pause or pullback mid-week.
  • Any dips to $110K–$114K could be ideal re-entry zones for traders.

✅ Strategy Summary:

 

Trader TypeSuggested Action
Swing TraderWatch for breakout or buy dip near $110K–$114K
ScalperTrade around $120K resistance, tight SL
InvestorTrend still intact—HODL or DCA on dip
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