Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd
Ticker: HINDPETRO
Decent
68/100
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Investing Reference
Price
448.65
Market Cap
95464.76
Debt/Equity
1.3796
ROE %
13.737
PB
1.8666
Promoter %
54.904
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-0.317
5Y Rev Growth %
10.006
NP Margin %
1.544
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
2.043
Trading Reference
1M Return %
11.135
6M Return %
18.346
1Y Return %
6.089
% Away 52W High
3.689
% Away 52W Low
56.025
Daily Volume
6539175
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 69/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Momentum
Score 76/100 · Position size: 20%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd is likely to face resistance around the ₹300 level, with support at ₹250. Given the current technical indicators, there is a 65% probability of the stock moving towards the resistance level and a 35% probability of it declining towards the support level over the next 6–12 months.
Upside Probability: 20% | Downside Probability: 15%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) is a leading oil refining and marketing company in India, catering to the energy needs of millions. With a strong presence in both urban and rural markets, HPCL plays a crucial role in the country's energy security. The company focuses on sustainable practices and innovation, ensuring a reliable supply of fuel and lubricants. HPCL is committed to enhancing customer satisfaction while contributing to national development.
- Leading oil refining and marketing company in India
- Strong presence across urban and rural markets
- Focus on sustainable energy practices
- Commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction
- Contributes significantly to India's energy security
- Robust infrastructure and distribution network
Investment Thesis
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL) stands out due to its robust promoter credibility, significant growth potential in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position HPCL as a compelling investment opportunity in the evolving energy landscape.
- Strong backing from the Government of India enhances credibility and stability.
- Expansion into digital services offers a lucrative growth runway.
- Valuation metrics indicate HPCL is undervalued compared to industry peers.
- Strategic initiatives in renewable energy align with global sustainability trends.
- Consistent dividend payouts provide additional income for investors.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Strong demand for energy products
- Government support for energy sector
- Expansion into renewable energy
- Increasing market share in fuel retailing
- Potential for higher dividends
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in crude oil prices
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Competition from private players
- Impact of global economic slowdown
- Environmental regulations tightening
Peer Perspective
Hindustan Petroleum trades at a discount to peers like Indian Oil and Bharat Petroleum, reflecting concerns over margin stability. A sustained improvement in refining margins could trigger a rerating, aligning its valuation with competitors.
Future Outlook
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by strategic investments in infrastructure and sustainability. However, successful execution and effective cost control will be crucial to realize its full potential.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd do?A: Hindustan Petroleum is an Indian oil and gas company involved in refining, distribution, and marketing.
- Q: Is Hindustan Petroleum a good investment?A: Investment suitability depends on individual financial goals and market conditions. Research is recommended.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in Hindustan Petroleum?A: Risks include market volatility, regulatory changes, and fluctuations in oil prices.
- Q: How can I buy Hindustan Petroleum shares?A: Shares can be purchased through a stockbroker or online trading platform.
- Q: What is the dividend policy of Hindustan Petroleum?A: Hindustan Petroleum has a history of paying dividends, but future payments depend on company performance.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 06:53:01
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10BusinessHighThe oil and gas sector is essential but faces challenges from renewable energy.
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10GrowthHighConsistent revenue growth, but profit margins are under pressure.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are decent, but cash flow is volatile.
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8ValuationHighP/E ratio is higher than some peers, indicating potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighModerate debt levels, but liquidity is a concern.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is stable, but there are some concerns about disclosures.
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5DriversGoodGrowth catalysts exist, but execution risks are significant.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is mixed, with low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100
• Decent
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd shows potential for growth but faces significant risks and challenges in profitability and market valuation.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 65/100
- Governance: 80/100
- Market Confidence: 72/100