Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Ticker: BPCL
Decent
68/100
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Investing Reference
Price
337.90
Market Cap
146598.10
Debt/Equity
0.7508
ROE %
16.987
PB
1.8013
Promoter %
52.976
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-1.574
5Y Rev Growth %
9.064
NP Margin %
3.002
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
3.904
Trading Reference
1M Return %
4.200
6M Return %
14.776
1Y Return %
-3.111
% Away 52W High
6.141
% Away 52W Low
44.396
Daily Volume
16271995
Investment Verdict
Buy
Score 75/100 · Position size: 40%
Long-term fundamentals are strong. Suitable for investors with a 1–3+ year horizon.
Trading Verdict
Watch
Score 57/100 · Position size: 10%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd is likely to experience moderate upside potential in the medium term, supported by recent price action above key moving averages and a strong volume trend. However, resistance levels may limit significant gains.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) is a leading oil and gas company in India, catering to the energy needs of millions. With a strong presence in refining and marketing, BPCL plays a crucial role in ensuring fuel availability across the nation. The company is committed to sustainable practices and innovation, making it a trusted partner for consumers and businesses alike. BPCL's focus on customer satisfaction and operational excellence positions it as a key player in India's energy landscape.
- Leading oil and gas company in India
- Strong refining and marketing capabilities
- Commitment to sustainability and innovation
- Trusted partner for consumers and businesses
- Key player in India's energy sector
Investment Thesis
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. This combination positions BPCL as a compelling investment opportunity in the evolving energy sector.
- Backed by a strong promoter group, ensuring stability and strategic direction.
- Significant growth potential in digital services, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency.
- Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers, presenting a favorable entry point for investors.
- Commitment to sustainability and green energy initiatives aligns with global trends.
- Strong financial performance and dividend history, appealing to income-focused investors.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Strong demand for fuel and energy
- Expansion in renewable energy sector
- Government support for infrastructure projects
- Potential for increased market share
- Strategic partnerships with global firms
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in crude oil prices
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Competition from private players
- Environmental compliance costs
- Geopolitical tensions impacting supply
Peer Perspective
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd trades at a slight discount to Hindustan Petroleum and Indian Oil, with a focus on margin stability. A sustained improvement in refining margins could trigger a rerating in its stock.
Future Outlook
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by strategic investments in refining and distribution. However, successful execution and effective cost control will be crucial to fully capitalize on emerging market opportunities.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 01:35:28
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10BusinessHighThe oil and gas sector is essential but faces regulatory and environmental challenges.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent due to fluctuating oil prices.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are moderate, with cash flow impacted by market volatility.
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8ValuationHighP/E and P/B ratios are higher compared to peers, indicating potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighDebt levels are manageable, but liquidity could be improved.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is stable, but there are concerns about transparency.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers exist, but execution risks are significant due to market dynamics.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is mixed, with low liquidity affecting price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100
• Decent
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd shows potential for growth, but faces significant challenges in profitability and market conditions.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 80/100
- Governance: 65/100
- Market Confidence: 72/100