National Aluminium Co Ltd
Ticker: NATIONALUM
Decent
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
226.55
Market Cap
41608.89
Debt/Equity
0.0102
ROE %
32.727
PB
2.3369
Promoter %
51.278
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
23.997
5Y Rev Growth %
14.414
NP Margin %
30.726
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
17.934
Trading Reference
1M Return %
2.471
6M Return %
49.617
1Y Return %
3.438
% Away 52W High
16.085
% Away 52W Low
64.465
Daily Volume
12613195
Investment Verdict
Buy
Score 81/100 · Position size: 40%
Long-term fundamentals are strong. Suitable for investors with a 1–3+ year horizon.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 52/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
National Aluminium Co Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a bullish trend. If it breaks above the resistance at INR 100, there is a strong potential for upward movement. However, if it falls below the support at INR 90, it could face significant downside risk.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) is a leading integrated aluminium producer in India, catering to diverse industries such as construction, automotive, and aerospace. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, NALCO plays a crucial role in the country's economic growth. This company is ideal for investors seeking exposure to the metals sector, as it combines strong fundamentals with growth potential.
- Leading aluminium producer in India
- Diverse applications across multiple industries
- Focus on sustainability and innovation
- Strong fundamentals and growth potential
- Contributes to India's economic development
Investment Thesis
National Aluminium Co Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. With a solid market position and strategic initiatives, it is well-positioned for long-term growth.
- Strong backing from a credible promoter group ensures stability and strategic direction.
- Significant growth potential in digital services, enhancing operational efficiency.
- Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers, offering a margin of safety.
- Established market presence in the aluminium sector, supporting revenue stability.
- Focus on sustainability and innovation aligns with global trends, boosting future prospects.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Strong demand for aluminium products
- Government infrastructure projects boosting growth
- Expanding into renewable energy sector
- Potential for export growth
- Rising global aluminium prices
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in raw material prices
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Competition from global players
- Economic slowdown impacting demand
- Environmental compliance costs
Peer Perspective
National Aluminium Co Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Hindalco and Vedanta, primarily due to margin volatility. A stable margin outlook could trigger a rerating, aligning its valuation closer to industry averages.
Future Outlook
National Aluminium Co Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in the renewable energy sector. However, successful execution of cost control measures will be crucial to fully capitalize on these opportunities.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does National Aluminium Co Ltd do?A: National Aluminium Co Ltd is involved in the production of aluminium and aluminium products.
- Q: Is National Aluminium Co Ltd a good investment?A: Investment decisions should be based on personal research and financial goals.
- Q: What factors affect National Aluminium Co Ltd's stock price?A: Stock price can be influenced by global aluminium prices, demand, and company performance.
- Q: How can I buy shares of National Aluminium Co Ltd?A: Shares can be purchased through a registered stockbroker or online trading platform.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in National Aluminium Co Ltd?A: Risks include market volatility, industry competition, and changes in government policies.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
National Aluminium Co Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 04:03:22
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10BusinessHighThe aluminium sector is essential for infrastructure and automotive industries, but faces competition from substitutes.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been steady, but profit margins are under pressure due to fluctuating raw material costs.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are decent, but cash flow has been inconsistent.
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10ValuationHighP/E and P/B ratios are in line with industry averages, suggesting fair valuation.
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8BalanceHighThe company has manageable debt levels and adequate liquidity.
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7GovernanceHighPromoter holding is strong, but there are concerns about transparency in disclosures.
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6DriversGoodGrowth drivers include infrastructure spending, but execution risks remain.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is neutral with low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Decent
National Aluminium Co Ltd shows potential for moderate growth, but faces challenges in profitability and market conditions.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 65/100
- Governance: 80/100
- Market Confidence: 70/100