Hilton Metal Forging Ltd

Ticker: HILTON
Risky 48/100

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Investing Reference

Price
47.23
Market Cap
110.52
Debt/Equity
0.5433
ROE %
5.746
PB
0.9560
Promoter %
7.706
Pledge %
1.709
1Y Rev Growth %
20.259
5Y Rev Growth %
10.265
NP Margin %
3.674
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-4.980

Trading Reference

1M Return %
-17.225
6M Return %
-31.252
1Y Return %
-44.093
% Away 52W High
160.957
% Away 52W Low
15.195
Daily Volume
735228
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 63/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 10/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.

AI Probability Statement

Probability Statement

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with recent price action showing increased buying volume. If the stock can maintain above this support and break through the resistance level, there is a favorable outlook for upward momentum in the medium term. However, failure to hold the support could lead to a significant downside risk.
Upside Probability: 15%   |   Downside Probability: 10%

Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.

More Options

Business Overview

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is a leading manufacturer of high-quality forged products, catering primarily to the aerospace, automotive, and industrial sectors. With a commitment to innovation and excellence, the company has established itself as a trusted partner for businesses seeking reliable and durable metal components. Hilton's state-of-the-art technology and skilled workforce ensure precision and efficiency in every product, making it a preferred choice for clients across India and beyond.

  • Established leader in metal forging
  • Serves aerospace, automotive, and industrial sectors
  • Focus on innovation and quality
  • State-of-the-art manufacturing technology
  • Skilled workforce ensuring precision
  • Trusted partner for reliable metal components

Investment Thesis

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, significant growth potential in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position the company for sustained growth and profitability in the competitive metal forging industry.

  • Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
  • Growing digital services segment offers significant revenue growth potential.
  • Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers indicate potential upside.
  • Robust demand in the manufacturing sector supports long-term growth.
  • Strategic initiatives in innovation and sustainability position the company favorably.

Opportunity vs Risk

Opportunities
  • Growing demand for forged products
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Strong customer relationships
  • Technological advancements in production
  • Favorable government policies
Risks ⚠️
  • Volatile raw material prices
  • Intense competition in industry
  • Economic downturn impact
  • Regulatory compliance challenges
  • Dependence on key clients

Peer Perspective

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Bharat Forge and Jamna Auto, reflecting concerns over margin stability; a consistent improvement in operational efficiency could trigger a rerating in its valuation.

Future Outlook

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in key sectors. Successful execution of its strategic initiatives and effective cost control will be crucial to maximize shareholder value.

AI FAQs for Retail Users

  • Q: What does Hilton Metal Forging Ltd do?
    A: Hilton Metal Forging Ltd specializes in manufacturing forged products for various industries including aerospace and defense.
  • Q: Is Hilton Metal Forging Ltd a publicly traded company?
    A: Yes, Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is listed on the stock exchanges in India.
  • Q: What are the key financial metrics to consider?
    A: Investors should review revenue growth, profit margins, and debt levels for a comprehensive financial overview.
  • Q: How can I invest in Hilton Metal Forging Ltd?
    A: You can invest through a brokerage account by purchasing shares on the stock exchange.
  • Q: What are the risks of investing in Hilton Metal Forging Ltd?
    A: Risks include market volatility, industry competition, and economic conditions affecting demand.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 14:17:56
  • 8
    Business
    High
    The sector is stable with moderate growth potential, but lacks a strong moat.
  • 10
    Growth
    High
    Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuating profit margins.
  • 10
    Profitability
    High
    ROE and ROCE are decent, but cash flow is not consistently strong.
  • 9
    Valuation
    High
    Valuation metrics are slightly above industry averages, indicating potential overvaluation.
  • 7
    Balance
    High
    The balance sheet shows manageable debt levels but limited liquidity.
  • 6
    Governance
    Good
    Promoter holding is adequate, but there are concerns about pledging.
  • 5
    Drivers
    Good
    Growth drivers are limited, with significant execution risks.
  • 1
    Technicals
    Low
    Market sentiment is weak, with low trading volumes and negative price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100 • Risky
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd presents several risks, including inconsistent growth and weak market sentiment, making it a risky investment at this time.

AI Confidence Score

Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:

  • Business Strength: 75/100
  • Growth Potential: 70/100
  • Profitability: 65/100
  • Governance: 80/100
  • Market Confidence: 72/100


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