Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd
Ticker: MCX
Decent
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
7920.50
Market Cap
40317.58
Debt/Equity
0.0005
ROE %
34.328
PB
21.3954
Promoter %
0.000
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
59.558
5Y Rev Growth %
19.203
NP Margin %
46.248
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
32.298
Trading Reference
1M Return %
0.678
6M Return %
54.038
1Y Return %
38.576
% Away 52W High
15.081
% Away 52W Low
79.679
Daily Volume
390552
Investment Verdict
Risky
Score 58/100 · Position size: 6%
Higher volatility/weak areas. Consider only a small allocation if risk appetite is high.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 46/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
The stock of Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd is currently trading near a strong support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating bullish momentum. If it breaks above the resistance level, there is a potential for upward movement. However, if it fails to hold the support, a downside risk is present.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX) is a leading commodity exchange in India, facilitating trading in various commodities. It serves traders, investors, and businesses looking to hedge risks and gain exposure to commodity markets. MCX plays a crucial role in price discovery and risk management, contributing to the overall stability of the commodities market in India. With a robust trading platform and regulatory compliance, MCX ensures transparency and efficiency in trading.
- Leading commodity exchange in India
- Facilitates trading in diverse commodities
- Supports risk management for businesses
- Enhances price discovery in the market
- Offers a transparent and efficient trading platform
Investment Thesis
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX) stands out as a robust investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, significant growth prospects in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position MCX well for sustained growth and profitability in the evolving commodities market.
- Strong backing from credible promoters ensures stability and strategic direction.
- Digital services expansion presents a substantial growth runway in the evolving market landscape.
- Valuation metrics indicate MCX is attractively priced compared to industry peers.
- Established market position enhances competitive advantage and customer trust.
- Regulatory support for commodity trading bodes well for future growth.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing demand for commodity trading
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased retail participation
- Technological advancements in trading
- Regulatory support for commodities
Risks ⚠️
- Market volatility affecting trading volumes
- Regulatory changes impacting operations
- Competition from other exchanges
- Economic downturn affecting investor sentiment
- Dependence on global commodity prices
Peer Perspective
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd trades at a premium to peers like National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange and Indian Commodity Exchange, driven by superior growth prospects; however, sustained margin stability is crucial for further rerating.
Future Outlook
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing market participation and innovation. Successful execution of its strategic initiatives and effective cost control will be key to realizing its full potential.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 14:49:11
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10BusinessHighThe sector is evolving with increasing demand for commodity trading, but competition is intensifying.
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10GrowthHighRevenue and profit growth have been consistent, but future growth may be impacted by market volatility.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are healthy, but OCF has shown some fluctuations.
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8ValuationHighValuation metrics are in line with peers, but there is limited upside potential.
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7BalanceHighThe balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is strong, but there are concerns regarding transparency in disclosures.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers exist, but execution risks are significant due to regulatory changes.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is neutral, with moderate liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Decent
The company operates in a promising sector with consistent growth, but faces challenges in execution and market volatility.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 80/100
- Governance: 85/100
- Market Confidence: 78/100