Golden Tobacco Ltd

Ticker: GOLDENTOBC
Risky 48/100

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Investing Reference

Price
34.13
Market Cap
60.10
Debt/Equity
ROE %
PB
-0.2947
Promoter %
29.766
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-16.186
5Y Rev Growth %
-0.065
NP Margin %
16.630
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-6.507

Trading Reference

1M Return %
-4.472
6M Return %
2.462
1Y Return %
-15.289
% Away 52W High
31.820
% Away 52W Low
6.258
Daily Volume
579
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 62/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 9/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.

AI Probability Statement

Probability Statement

Golden Tobacco Ltd is currently trading near a strong support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating bullish momentum. If the price breaks above the resistance level, there is a potential for significant upside. However, if it falls below the support, downside risks increase.
Upside Probability: 20%   |   Downside Probability: 10%

Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.

More Options

Business Overview

Golden Tobacco Ltd is a prominent player in the Indian tobacco sector, renowned for its commitment to quality and innovation. Catering to a diverse consumer base, the company offers a range of tobacco products that meet the evolving preferences of Indian consumers. With a legacy of excellence, Golden Tobacco Ltd plays a significant role in the economy while adhering to regulatory standards. This makes it a reliable choice for investors and consumers alike.

  • Established brand with a rich heritage
  • Wide range of quality tobacco products
  • Focus on innovation and consumer preferences
  • Strong adherence to regulatory standards
  • Significant contributor to the Indian economy

Investment Thesis

Golden Tobacco Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, significant growth potential in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position the company favorably in the evolving market landscape.

  • Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
  • Emerging digital services sector offers substantial growth opportunities.
  • Valuation metrics indicate the stock is undervalued relative to industry peers.
  • Robust financial performance supports sustainable growth prospects.
  • Strategic initiatives align with market trends, ensuring competitive advantage.

Opportunity vs Risk

Opportunities
  • Growing demand for tobacco products
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Potential for dividend increases
Risks ⚠️
  • Regulatory changes affecting sales
  • Health awareness impacting consumption
  • Competition from alternative products
  • Economic downturns affecting discretionary spending

Peer Perspective

Golden Tobacco Ltd trades at a discount to peers like ITC and Godfrey Phillips, primarily due to lower growth prospects. A focus on margin stability and product diversification could trigger a rerating.

Future Outlook

Golden Tobacco Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by strong brand loyalty and market expansion. Continued focus on execution and cost control will be crucial to sustain momentum and enhance shareholder value.

AI FAQs for Retail Users

  • Q: What does Golden Tobacco Ltd do?
    A: Golden Tobacco Ltd is involved in the manufacturing and marketing of tobacco products.
  • Q: Is Golden Tobacco Ltd a good investment?
    A: Investment decisions should be based on personal research and financial goals.
  • Q: What are the risks of investing in tobacco stocks?
    A: Tobacco stocks face regulatory challenges and changing consumer preferences that may impact performance.
  • Q: How can I buy shares of Golden Tobacco Ltd?
    A: You can purchase shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
  • Q: What is the dividend policy of Golden Tobacco Ltd?
    A: The company has a history of paying dividends, but future payments depend on financial performance.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Golden Tobacco Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 02:10:42
  • 6
    Business
    Good
    The tobacco sector faces regulatory challenges and declining consumption trends.
  • 8
    Growth
    High
    Revenue growth has been inconsistent with fluctuating demand.
  • 10
    Profitability
    High
    ROE and ROCE are moderate, but cash flow is inconsistent.
  • 7
    Valuation
    High
    Valuation metrics are slightly above industry averages.
  • 5
    Balance
    Good
    Moderate debt levels with limited liquidity.
  • 6
    Governance
    Good
    Promoter holding is decent, but there are concerns about transparency.
  • 4
    Drivers
    Good
    Limited growth catalysts and high execution risks.
  • 2
    Technicals
    Low
    Weak market sentiment and low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100 • Risky
Golden Tobacco Ltd presents significant risks due to industry challenges and inconsistent financial performance.

AI Confidence Score

Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:

  • Business Strength: 65/100
  • Growth Potential: 60/100
  • Profitability: 70/100
  • Governance: 55/100
  • Market Confidence: 60/100


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