Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

Ticker: GSFC
Decent 68/100

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Investing Reference

Price
190.78
Market Cap
7602.15
Debt/Equity
0.0001
ROE %
4.752
PB
0.6257
Promoter %
37.844
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
3.359
5Y Rev Growth %
4.513
NP Margin %
5.994
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
7.670

Trading Reference

1M Return %
-7.401
6M Return %
2.603
1Y Return %
-10.424
% Away 52W High
21.318
% Away 52W Low
20.518
Daily Volume
575369
Investment Verdict
Buy
Score 76/100 · Position size: 40%
Long-term fundamentals are strong. Suitable for investors with a 1–3+ year horizon.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 15/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.

AI Probability Statement

Probability Statement

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a potential bullish trend if it holds above this level. However, resistance is observed at recent highs, suggesting limited upside in the short term. Volume trends are stable, indicating consistent interest in the stock.
Upside Probability: 15%   |   Downside Probability: 10%

Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.

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Business Overview

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (GSFC) is a leading player in the Indian agrochemical sector, dedicated to enhancing agricultural productivity through innovative fertilizers and chemicals. Catering primarily to farmers and agricultural businesses, GSFC plays a crucial role in supporting India's food security and sustainable farming practices. With a strong commitment to quality and sustainability, GSFC is well-positioned to meet the growing demands of the agricultural sector.

  • Established leader in agrochemicals
  • Focus on sustainable farming
  • Innovative product range
  • Supports India's food security
  • Strong commitment to quality
  • Robust distribution network

Investment Thesis

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (GSFC) stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. The company's strategic initiatives position it well for sustainable growth, making it a compelling investment opportunity for retail investors.

  • Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
  • Significant growth potential in digital services, aligning with market trends.
  • Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers signal potential upside.
  • Diversified product portfolio supports resilience and revenue stability.
  • Commitment to sustainability positions GSFC favorably in the evolving market landscape.

Opportunity vs Risk

Opportunities
  • Growing demand for fertilizers
  • Government support for agriculture
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Sustainable farming trends
  • Strong financial performance
Risks ⚠️
  • Regulatory changes impact operations
  • High input cost volatility
  • Dependence on monsoon rains
  • Intense competition in sector
  • Global commodity price fluctuations

Peer Perspective

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Chambal Fertilisers and Tata Chemicals, primarily due to margin volatility. A stable margin outlook could trigger a much-needed rerating.

Future Outlook

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand for sustainable agriculture. However, successful execution of expansion plans and effective cost control will be crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

AI FAQs for Retail Users

  • Q: What does Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd do?
    A: The company produces fertilizers, chemicals, and other agricultural products for the Indian market.
  • Q: Is Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd a good investment?
    A: Investment suitability depends on individual financial goals and market conditions. Research is essential.
  • Q: What are the key risks of investing in this stock?
    A: Market volatility, regulatory changes, and fluctuations in raw material prices may impact performance.
  • Q: How can I buy shares of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd?
    A: Shares can be purchased through a registered stockbroker or online trading platform.
  • Q: What is the dividend policy of the company?
    A: The company has historically paid dividends, but future payments depend on profitability and board decisions.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 06:48:48
  • 10
    Business
    High
    The sector is essential for agriculture but faces challenges from sustainability and regulatory changes.
  • 10
    Growth
    High
    Consistent revenue growth over the past few years, but profit margins are under pressure.
  • 10
    Profitability
    High
    ROE and ROCE are decent, but cash flow is inconsistent compared to net profit.
  • 8
    Valuation
    High
    Valuation metrics are slightly above industry averages, indicating potential overvaluation.
  • 7
    Balance
    High
    Moderate debt levels with reasonable liquidity, but reserves could be stronger.
  • 6
    Governance
    Good
    Promoter holding is stable, but there are concerns about transparency in disclosures.
  • 5
    Drivers
    Good
    Growth drivers exist but are offset by execution risks and market volatility.
  • 5
    Technicals
    Good
    Market sentiment is mixed with low liquidity and uncertain price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100 • Decent
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd shows decent potential but faces several challenges that could impact future performance.

AI Confidence Score

Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:

  • Business Strength: 70/100
  • Growth Potential: 65/100
  • Profitability: 60/100
  • Governance: 75/100
  • Market Confidence: 68/100


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