Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Ltd

Ticker: AMBICAAGAR
Risky 48/100

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Investing Reference

Price
26.00
Market Cap
44.66
Debt/Equity
0.7524
ROE %
0.475
PB
0.4087
Promoter %
43.415
Pledge %
0.012
1Y Rev Growth %
24.932
5Y Rev Growth %
-5.208
NP Margin %
0.388
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
0.559

Trading Reference

1M Return %
-6.381
6M Return %
-4.377
1Y Return %
-5.420
% Away 52W High
42.115
% Away 52W Low
8.378
Daily Volume
25382
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 65/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 10/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.

AI Probability Statement

Probability Statement

Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA showing upward momentum. If it breaks above the resistance level at INR 250, there is potential for a rally towards INR 300. However, if it falls below the support at INR 200, it could decline towards INR 180.
Upside Probability: 20%   |   Downside Probability: 10%

Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.

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Business Overview

Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Ltd is a leading manufacturer of incense sticks and aromatic products in India. Catering to both domestic and international markets, the company is renowned for its commitment to quality and innovation. With a strong heritage in traditional craftsmanship, Ambica blends age-old techniques with modern practices to create a diverse range of fragrances. This matters as it not only enhances spiritual and cultural experiences but also supports local artisans and sustainable practices.

  • Established leader in incense manufacturing
  • Wide range of aromatic products
  • Commitment to quality and innovation
  • Supports local artisans and sustainable practices
  • Strong domestic and international presence

Investment Thesis

Ambica Agarbathies stands out with a credible promoter group and a strong track record in the fragrance industry. The company's focus on digital services presents a significant growth opportunity. With attractive valuations compared to peers, this stock offers a compelling investment proposition for retail investors looking to capitalize on the expanding aroma market.

  • Strong promoter group with a proven track record in the industry.
  • Significant growth potential in digital services to enhance market reach.
  • Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers.
  • Established brand presence in the fragrance sector with loyal customer base.
  • Strategic initiatives aimed at expanding product offerings and market share.

Opportunity vs Risk

Opportunities
  • Growing demand for incense products
  • Expansion into international markets
  • Strong brand recognition in India
  • Sustainable sourcing practices
  • Increasing online retail presence
Risks ⚠️
  • Intense competition in the market
  • Fluctuating raw material prices
  • Regulatory changes affecting production
  • Dependence on seasonal sales
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending

Peer Perspective

Ambica Agarbathies trades at a discount to peers like Mysore Deep Perfumery and NR Agarbatti, primarily due to margin pressures. A return to stable margins could trigger a much-needed rerating in its valuation.

Future Outlook

Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand for sustainable products. However, successful execution of operational efficiencies and cost control will be crucial to fully realize this potential.

AI FAQs for Retail Users

  • Q: What does Ambica Agarbathies do?
    A: Ambica Agarbathies manufactures and sells incense sticks and related products in India and abroad.
  • Q: Is Ambica Agarbathies a profitable company?
    A: The company has reported profits in recent years, but past performance does not guarantee future results.
  • Q: What are the risks of investing in Ambica Agarbathies?
    A: Risks include market competition, regulatory changes, and fluctuations in raw material prices.
  • Q: How can I buy shares of Ambica Agarbathies?
    A: You can buy shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
  • Q: What is the company's growth strategy?
    A: The company focuses on expanding its product range and increasing market presence domestically and internationally.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 01:24:41
  • 8
    Business
    High
    The sector is niche but has potential for growth due to increasing demand for incense products.
  • 10
    Growth
    High
    Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations in profit margins.
  • 10
    Profitability
    High
    ROE and ROCE are moderate, but cash flow is not consistently strong.
  • 9
    Valuation
    High
    Valuation metrics are slightly above peers, indicating potential overvaluation.
  • 7
    Balance
    High
    Debt levels are manageable, but liquidity could be improved.
  • 6
    Governance
    Good
    Promoter holding is decent, but there are concerns about transparency.
  • 5
    Drivers
    Good
    Growth drivers are limited, with execution risks in expanding market reach.
  • 1
    Technicals
    Low
    Market sentiment is weak, with low liquidity and negative price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100 • Risky
The stock presents several risks with inconsistent growth and profitability metrics, making it a risky investment at this time.

AI Confidence Score

Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:

  • Business Strength: 65/100
  • Growth Potential: 70/100
  • Profitability: 60/100
  • Governance: 55/100
  • Market Confidence: 60/100


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