Tirupati Forge Ltd
Ticker: TIRUPATIFL
Risky
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
39.15
Market Cap
478.73
Debt/Equity
0.2447
ROE %
10.001
PB
4.4712
Promoter %
48.099
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
4.841
5Y Rev Growth %
32.975
NP Margin %
6.750
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
6.208
Trading Reference
1M Return %
-1.083
6M Return %
28.910
1Y Return %
18.529
% Away 52W High
86.156
% Away 52W Low
38.781
Daily Volume
140884
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 62/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 37/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Tirupati Forge Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a potential upward trend if it breaks above recent resistance. Volume has shown signs of increasing, suggesting bullish sentiment. Therefore, there is a moderate probability of a price increase in the medium-term, while downside risk remains limited due to strong support levels.
Upside Probability: 20% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Tirupati Forge Ltd is a prominent player in the forging industry, specializing in high-quality forged components for various sectors including automotive, aerospace, and industrial machinery. Catering to both domestic and international markets, the company is committed to delivering precision-engineered products that meet stringent quality standards. With a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, Tirupati Forge is well-positioned to meet the evolving needs of its customers.
- Established leader in the forging industry
- Serves diverse sectors: automotive, aerospace, industrial
- Commitment to high-quality and precision engineering
- Focus on innovation and sustainable practices
- Strong domestic and international market presence
Investment Thesis
Tirupati Forge Ltd stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position the company well for sustained growth, making it a compelling investment opportunity for retail investors.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Significant growth potential in digital services aligns with market trends.
- Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers indicate potential upside.
- Robust financial performance supports long-term growth prospects.
- Strategic initiatives in place to capitalize on emerging market opportunities.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing demand for forged products
- Expansion into new markets
- Strong focus on R&D
- Strategic partnerships with key players
- Government support for manufacturing
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in raw material prices
- Intense competition in the sector
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Economic slowdown impact
- Dependence on a few major clients
Peer Perspective
Tirupati Forge Ltd trades at a 15% discount to peers like Bharat Forge and Ramkrishna Forgings, primarily due to margin volatility; a consistent improvement in margins could trigger a significant rerating.
Future Outlook
Tirupati Forge Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in the automotive sector. However, successful execution of its expansion plans and effective cost control will be crucial to achieving its long-term potential.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Tirupati Forge Ltd do?A: Tirupati Forge Ltd specializes in manufacturing forged components for various industries, including automotive and aerospace.
- Q: Is Tirupati Forge Ltd a good investment?A: Investing in any stock depends on individual financial goals and market conditions. Research is essential.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in Tirupati Forge Ltd?A: Risks include market volatility, industry competition, and economic changes that may affect performance.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Tirupati Forge Ltd?A: You can buy shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
- Q: Where can I find financial reports for Tirupati Forge Ltd?A: Financial reports are available on the company's official website and through stock exchange filings.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Tirupati Forge Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 17:26:10
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8BusinessHighThe sector shows potential for growth with increasing demand for forged components.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations in profit margins.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are moderate, with OCF showing some volatility.
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9ValuationHighValuation ratios are slightly above industry average, indicating potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighDebt levels are manageable, but liquidity ratios need improvement.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is decent, but some pledging raises concerns.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are present, but execution risks are significant.
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1TechnicalsLowMarket sentiment is weak with low liquidity and negative price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Risky
Tirupati Forge Ltd presents several risks with inconsistent growth and profitability metrics, alongside governance concerns. Caution is advised for potential investors.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 65/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 60/100
- Governance: 55/100
- Market Confidence: 68/100