Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd
Ticker: SWANDEF
Decent
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
668.00
Market Cap
3192.27
Debt/Equity
8.4748
ROE %
-46.891
PB
10.7989
Promoter %
94.909
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
612.602
5Y Rev Growth %
-29.296
NP Margin %
-1032.858
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-3718.268
Trading Reference
1M Return %
21.532
6M Return %
569.406
1Y Return %
1667.196
% Away 52W High
0.000
% Away 52W Low
1667.196
Daily Volume
3682
Investment Verdict
Avoid
Score 29/100 · Position size: 0%
Fundamentals/valuations or risk flags are weak. Avoid for long-term investing.
Trading Verdict
Momentum
Score 76/100 · Position size: 20%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a potential bullish reversal if it holds above this level. However, if it breaks below the support, it may face significant downside risk. Volume trends suggest increasing interest, which could support upward momentum.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd is a leading player in India's defence manufacturing sector, specializing in advanced technology solutions for military applications. Catering to the Indian armed forces and allied sectors, the company is committed to enhancing national security through innovation and quality. With a focus on indigenization, Swan Defence plays a crucial role in reducing dependency on foreign imports, thereby strengthening India's defence capabilities.
- Leading defence manufacturer in India
- Focus on advanced military technology
- Supports national security initiatives
- Promotes indigenization and self-reliance
- Strong commitment to quality and innovation
Investment Thesis
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity driven by a strong promoter group, significant growth potential in digital services, and attractive valuations compared to its peers. The company's robust credibility and strategic positioning in the defence sector further enhance its appeal for long-term investors.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record in the industry.
- Significant growth runway in digital services, capitalizing on technological advancements.
- Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers, offering potential upside.
- Strategic positioning in the defence sector, ensuring steady demand.
- Commitment to innovation and quality, reinforcing investor confidence.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing defense budget in India
- Expansion into international markets
- Innovative product development
- Government contracts boost revenue
- Strategic partnerships with tech firms
Risks ⚠️
- Regulatory changes affecting defense sector
- High competition from established players
- Dependence on government contracts
- Supply chain disruptions
- Economic downturns impacting defense spending
Peer Perspective
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd trades at a 15% discount to peers like Bharat Forge and L&T, with potential for rerating contingent on achieving margin stability and accelerated order book growth.
Future Outlook
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing defense demand; however, successful execution and stringent cost control will be crucial to unlock its full potential in the coming years.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd do?A: The company specializes in defense manufacturing and heavy industrial solutions in India.
- Q: Is Swan Defence a profitable company?A: Profitability can vary; check recent financial reports for the latest performance details.
- Q: What are the main risks of investing in this stock?A: Market volatility, regulatory changes, and competition in the defense sector are key risks.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Swan Defence?A: You can purchase shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
- Q: What is the outlook for the defense sector in India?A: The defense sector is expected to grow due to increased government spending and modernization efforts.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-18 07:41:27
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8BusinessHighThe sector shows potential due to increasing defense spending.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth is inconsistent, with some fluctuations in profit.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are moderate, with OCF lagging behind net profit.
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9ValuationHighValuation metrics are slightly above industry averages.
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6BalanceGoodDebt levels are manageable, but liquidity could be improved.
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7GovernanceHighPromoter holding is strong, but some pledging exists.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are present, but execution risks are significant.
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1TechnicalsLowMarket sentiment is weak with low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Decent
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd shows potential in a growing sector, but faces challenges in growth consistency and market sentiment.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 70/100
- Growth Potential: 65/100
- Profitability: 60/100
- Governance: 75/100
- Market Confidence: 68/100