RattanIndia Power Ltd
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AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
RattanIndia Power Ltd is expected to face resistance around the ₹15 level, with support at ₹10. Given the current volume trends and the positioning of the 50-day EMA above the 200-day EMA, there is a moderate bullish sentiment. A breakout above ₹15 could lead to a potential upside, while a drop below ₹10 may trigger further downside.
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
RattanIndia Power Ltd is a leading player in India's power sector, focused on renewable energy and sustainable solutions. Catering to both urban and rural markets, the company is committed to providing reliable electricity and promoting green energy initiatives. With a strong emphasis on innovation and efficiency, RattanIndia Power is positioned to meet the growing energy demands of the nation while contributing to environmental sustainability. This makes it a vital player in India's energy transition.
- Leading player in renewable energy
- Focus on sustainable power solutions
- Caters to urban and rural markets
- Commitment to innovation and efficiency
- Contributes to India's energy transition
- Supports environmental sustainability
Investment Thesis
RattanIndia Power Ltd stands out due to its strong promoter credibility and commitment to growth. The company's expansion into digital services presents a significant growth runway. Additionally, its current valuation is attractive compared to peers, making it a compelling investment opportunity for retail investors seeking value in the power sector.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Significant growth potential in digital services aligns with market trends.
- Attractive valuation compared to industry peers offers a margin of safety.
- Focus on renewable energy positions the company for future growth.
- Commitment to innovation and sustainability drives long-term value.
Opportunity vs Risk
- Growing demand for renewable energy
- Government support for power sector
- Potential for strategic partnerships
- Expansion into new markets
- Regulatory changes impact operations
- High competition in energy sector
- Dependency on coal prices
- Financial instability concerns
Peer Perspective
RattanIndia Power Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Tata Power and Adani Green, primarily due to concerns over margin stability. A consistent improvement in operational efficiency could trigger a positive rerating.
Future Outlook
RattanIndia Power Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by its strategic initiatives in renewable energy. However, successful execution and stringent cost control will be crucial to fully realize its potential in the evolving market.
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10BusinessHighThe power sector is evolving with renewable energy focus, but RattanIndia's business model lacks a clear competitive moat.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations in profitability.
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8ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are below industry averages, and cash flow is not stable.
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9ValuationHighValuation metrics like P/E and P/B are higher compared to peers, indicating potential overvaluation.
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6BalanceGoodDebt levels are concerning, with a high debt/equity ratio impacting financial stability.
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7GovernanceHighPromoter holding is decent, but there are concerns regarding pledging and transparency.
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5DriversGoodLimited growth drivers identified, with significant execution risks in scaling operations.
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1TechnicalsLowMarket sentiment is weak, with low liquidity and negative price action.