Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd
Ticker: NOIDATOLL
Risky
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
4.34
Market Cap
80.81
Debt/Equity
ROE %
-296.576
PB
-2.0334
Promoter %
26.368
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
77.764
5Y Rev Growth %
7.602
NP Margin %
-573.175
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-273.670
Trading Reference
1M Return %
-3.721
6M Return %
24.000
1Y Return %
-69.840
% Away 52W High
426.037
% Away 52W Low
68.872
Daily Volume
239498
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 63/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 27/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with recent price action showing increased volume on upward movements. If the stock can maintain above this support, there is a potential for a rally towards the next resistance level. However, if it breaks below support, it could face significant downside risk.
Upside Probability: 20% | Downside Probability: 15%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd (NTBCL) is a key player in India's infrastructure sector, primarily focusing on the operation and maintenance of the Noida-Greater Noida Expressway. It serves daily commuters, businesses, and tourists, facilitating seamless connectivity in the National Capital Region. With a commitment to quality and efficiency, NTBCL plays a vital role in enhancing regional development and economic growth.
- Strategic location in NCR for improved connectivity
- Supports daily commuters and local businesses
- Focus on infrastructure development and maintenance
- Contributes to regional economic growth
- Strong operational track record and reliability
Investment Thesis
Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, significant growth potential in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. The company's strategic positioning enhances its long-term prospects in the evolving infrastructure landscape.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record ensures stability and trust.
- Digital services division poised for rapid growth, tapping into the tech-savvy consumer base.
- Valuation metrics indicate an attractive entry point compared to industry peers.
- Strategic infrastructure investments align with government initiatives for urban development.
- Resilient revenue model backed by essential toll operations and digital offerings.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing traffic in Noida region
- Potential for toll rate hikes
- Government infrastructure investments
- Expansion of urban areas
- Increased tourist visits
Risks ⚠️
- Regulatory changes affecting tolls
- Competition from alternative routes
- Economic downturn impact on traffic
- High maintenance costs
- Dependence on local government policies
Peer Perspective
Noida Toll Bridge Company trades at a discount to peers like IRB Infra and GMR Infra, primarily due to slower growth. A sustained improvement in traffic volumes could trigger a much-needed rerating.
Future Outlook
Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing traffic and infrastructure investments; however, successful execution and cost control will be crucial to maximize shareholder value in the coming years.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd do?A: It operates and maintains the Noida Toll Bridge, providing transportation services in the region.
- Q: Is Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd a good investment?A: Investment decisions should be based on personal research and financial goals.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in this stock?A: Risks include market volatility, regulatory changes, and operational challenges.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd?A: You can purchase shares through a registered stockbroker or online trading platform.
- Q: What is the dividend policy of the company?A: The company may declare dividends based on its financial performance and board decisions.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Noida Toll Bridge Company Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 05:53:06
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8BusinessHighThe tolling sector is essential for infrastructure but faces regulatory challenges.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent due to traffic fluctuations.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are moderate, with cash flow being stable.
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9ValuationHighValuation metrics are reasonable compared to peers but not compelling.
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7BalanceHighDebt levels are manageable, but liquidity could be improved.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is decent, but there are concerns about disclosures.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are limited, with execution risks present.
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1TechnicalsLowMarket sentiment is weak, with low liquidity and poor price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Risky
The stock presents several risks with limited growth prospects and weak market sentiment, making it a risky investment.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 65/100
- Growth Potential: 60/100
- Profitability: 70/100
- Governance: 55/100
- Market Confidence: 60/100