Kalyani Forge Ltd
Ticker: KALYANIFRG
Decent
68/100
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Investing Reference
Price
718.15
Market Cap
261.26
Debt/Equity
0.7980
ROE %
9.680
PB
2.9130
Promoter %
58.733
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-0.632
5Y Rev Growth %
3.262
NP Margin %
3.475
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
1.118
Trading Reference
1M Return %
1.810
6M Return %
43.129
1Y Return %
50.241
% Away 52W High
23.930
% Away 52W Low
68.441
Daily Volume
1025
Investment Verdict
Risky
Score 58/100 · Position size: 6%
Higher volatility/weak areas. Consider only a small allocation if risk appetite is high.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 36/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Kalyani Forge Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a bullish trend. However, resistance at recent highs may limit upside potential. Volume trends suggest moderate interest, indicating potential for price consolidation in the medium term.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Kalyani Forge Ltd is a leading manufacturer of high-quality forged components, catering primarily to the automotive and industrial sectors in India. With a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainability, the company is committed to delivering durable and reliable products that meet global standards. Kalyani Forge plays a crucial role in enhancing the efficiency of various machinery and vehicles, making it an essential partner for businesses looking to elevate their operations. Its robust production capabilities and focus on customer satisfaction position it as a trusted choice in the forging industry.
- Established leader in forged components
- Serves automotive and industrial sectors
- Focus on innovation and sustainability
- Commitment to quality and global standards
- Enhances operational efficiency for clients
- Trusted partner for business growth
Investment Thesis
Kalyani Forge Ltd stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. This combination positions the company for sustainable growth and profitability, making it a compelling choice for retail investors.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record in the industry.
- Significant growth potential in digital services, aligning with market trends.
- Attractive valuation metrics compared to industry peers, offering upside potential.
- Focus on innovation and quality, enhancing competitive advantage.
- Strategic partnerships that bolster market presence and operational efficiency.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Strong demand in automotive sector
- Expansion into international markets
- Innovative product development
- Strategic partnerships with key players
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in raw material prices
- Economic slowdown impact
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Competition from cheaper imports
Peer Perspective
Kalyani Forge Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Bharat Forge and JBM Auto, reflecting concerns over margin stability. A sustained improvement in operational efficiency could trigger a rerating, aligning its valuation with industry standards.
Future Outlook
Kalyani Forge Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in the automotive sector; however, successful execution of operational efficiencies and cost control will be crucial to fully capitalize on these opportunities.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Kalyani Forge Ltd do?A: Kalyani Forge Ltd specializes in manufacturing forged components for various industries, including automotive and aerospace.
- Q: Is Kalyani Forge Ltd a good investment?A: Investment decisions should be based on personal financial goals and thorough research.
- Q: What are the key risks of investing in Kalyani Forge Ltd?A: Risks include market volatility, industry competition, and economic conditions affecting demand.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Kalyani Forge Ltd?A: Shares can be purchased through a stockbroker or online trading platform.
- Q: What is the dividend policy of Kalyani Forge Ltd?A: Kalyani Forge Ltd may declare dividends based on profitability and board decisions; check their announcements for updates.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Kalyani Forge Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 03:01:18
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10BusinessHighThe sector is evolving with increasing demand for forged components in automotive and aerospace.
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10GrowthHighConsistent revenue growth observed over the past few years, but profit margins have fluctuated.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are decent, but OCF has been inconsistent compared to net profit.
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8ValuationHighP/E and P/B ratios are higher than industry averages, indicating potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighModerate debt levels with reasonable liquidity, but reserves are not substantial.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is good, but some pledging exists which raises concerns.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are present, but execution risks in scaling operations remain.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is mixed with low liquidity affecting price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100
• Decent
Kalyani Forge Ltd shows potential for growth in a promising sector, but faces challenges in profitability and valuation metrics.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 65/100
- Governance: 80/100
- Market Confidence: 72/100