Happy Forgings Ltd
Ticker: HAPPYFORGE
Decent
68/100
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Investing Reference
Price
914.75
Market Cap
8626.48
Debt/Equity
0.1233
ROE %
15.449
PB
4.6641
Promoter %
78.520
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
5.450
5Y Rev Growth %
NP Margin %
18.490
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
16.925
Trading Reference
1M Return %
-2.777
6M Return %
15.572
1Y Return %
-19.027
% Away 52W High
30.205
% Away 52W Low
26.329
Daily Volume
30243
Investment Verdict
Hold
Score 73/100 · Position size: 30%
Fundamentals are OK but not compelling. Maintain current position; avoid fresh adds.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 36/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Happy Forgings Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a potential bullish trend if it breaks above the resistance level. Volume has been increasing, suggesting strong buying interest. Therefore, there is a moderate probability of price appreciation in the medium-term.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Happy Forgings Ltd is a prominent player in the Indian forging industry, specializing in high-quality forged components for automotive and industrial applications. Catering to manufacturers and OEMs, the company is committed to delivering precision-engineered products that meet global standards. With a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainability, Happy Forgings Ltd plays a crucial role in supporting India's manufacturing growth and enhancing supply chain efficiency.
- Established leader in the forging sector
- Focus on automotive and industrial applications
- Commitment to quality and precision
- Innovative and sustainable manufacturing practices
- Supports Make in India initiative
- Strong customer relationships and trust
Investment Thesis
Happy Forgings Ltd stands out as a compelling investment due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position the company for sustained growth and profitability in the evolving market landscape.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Significant growth potential in digital services aligns with industry trends.
- Valuation metrics indicate an attractive entry point compared to industry peers.
- Robust financial health supports future expansion and innovation.
- Commitment to quality and sustainability strengthens brand reputation.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Strong demand in manufacturing sector
- Expansion into new markets
- Potential for export growth
- Innovative product development
- Strategic partnerships with suppliers
Risks ⚠️
- Volatility in raw material prices
- Regulatory changes affecting operations
- Competition from established players
- Economic downturn impact
- Supply chain disruptions
Peer Perspective
Happy Forgings Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Bharat Forge and Mahindra Forgings, with a focus on improving margin stability being crucial for potential rerating in line with industry growth.
Future Outlook
Happy Forgings Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in the forging sector. However, successful execution and stringent cost control will be crucial to capitalize on these opportunities.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Happy Forgings Ltd do?A: Happy Forgings Ltd manufactures forged components for various industries, including automotive and engineering.
- Q: Is Happy Forgings Ltd a good investment?A: Investment decisions should be based on your financial goals and risk tolerance. Research is essential.
- Q: What are the recent financial results of Happy Forgings Ltd?A: Please check the latest quarterly reports for up-to-date financial performance and insights.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Happy Forgings Ltd?A: You can buy shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
- Q: What are the risks associated with investing in Happy Forgings Ltd?A: Risks include market volatility, industry competition, and company-specific factors. Always conduct thorough research.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Happy Forgings Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 02:19:42
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10BusinessHighThe forging industry is essential for various sectors, but competition is high.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been consistent, but profit margins are under pressure.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are decent, but cash flow is inconsistent.
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8ValuationHighValuation metrics are above industry averages, indicating potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighModerate debt levels, but liquidity could be improved.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is strong, but some pledging exists.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are present, but execution risks are significant.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is mixed with low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100
• Decent
Happy Forgings Ltd shows potential for growth but faces challenges in profitability and valuation. Investors should proceed with caution.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 65/100
- Governance: 80/100
- Market Confidence: 72/100