Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd
Ticker: GNFC
Decent
68/100
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Investing Reference
Price
501.85
Market Cap
7374.22
Debt/Equity
0.0123
ROE %
7.081
PB
0.8599
Promoter %
41.305
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-0.066
5Y Rev Growth %
9.568
NP Margin %
7.122
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
11.850
Trading Reference
1M Return %
-3.473
6M Return %
2.158
1Y Return %
-22.272
% Away 52W High
32.241
% Away 52W Low
11.771
Daily Volume
287223
Investment Verdict
Buy
Score 84/100 · Position size: 40%
Long-term fundamentals are strong. Suitable for investors with a 1–3+ year horizon.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 18/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a potential upward trend if it holds. However, resistance levels are present that could limit upside potential. Volume trends suggest cautious optimism, but volatility may persist.
Upside Probability: 15% | Downside Probability: 10%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (GNFC) is a leading player in the Indian fertilizers and chemicals sector, dedicated to enhancing agricultural productivity and sustainability. The company serves farmers, agricultural cooperatives, and industrial clients, providing high-quality products that support crop growth and soil health. GNFC's commitment to innovation and environmental stewardship makes it a vital partner in India's agricultural landscape.
- Established leader in fertilizers and chemicals
- Focus on sustainable agricultural practices
- Innovative product offerings for farmers
- Strong commitment to quality and safety
- Robust distribution network across India
Investment Thesis
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. This combination positions the company for sustainable growth and offers a compelling investment opportunity for retail investors.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Significant growth potential in digital services, expanding market reach.
- Attractive valuation relative to industry peers, offering a margin of safety.
- Focus on sustainable agricultural solutions aligns with government initiatives.
- Resilient financial performance supports long-term growth prospects.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing demand for fertilizers
- Government support for agriculture
- Expansion into new markets
- Innovative product development
Risks ⚠️
- Fluctuating raw material prices
- Regulatory changes in agriculture
- Dependence on monsoon rains
- Intense competition in sector
Peer Perspective
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Chambal Fertilisers and Tata Chemicals, primarily due to margin concerns; a stabilization in margins could trigger a rerating.
Future Outlook
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by strong market demand and strategic initiatives; however, successful execution and effective cost control will be crucial for realizing its full potential.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd do?A: The company manufactures fertilizers and chemicals, focusing on agricultural solutions in India.
- Q: Is Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd a profitable company?A: The company's financial performance varies; check recent quarterly results for updated information.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in this stock?A: Market fluctuations, regulatory changes, and agricultural demand can impact the company's performance.
- Q: How can I buy shares of Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd?A: You can purchase shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
- Q: What is the dividend policy of the company?A: The company has historically paid dividends, but future payouts depend on profitability and board decisions.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-17 06:47:58
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10BusinessHighThe sector is essential but faces regulatory challenges.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent over the past few years.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are moderate, with OCF showing some volatility.
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8ValuationHighP/E and P/B ratios are higher than industry averages.
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7BalanceHighDebt levels are manageable but liquidity is a concern.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is decent, but there are some pledging issues.
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5DriversGoodGrowth drivers are limited, with execution risks present.
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5TechnicalsGoodMarket sentiment is neutral with low liquidity.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 68 / 100
• Decent
The company operates in a crucial sector but faces several challenges that may impact future growth and profitability.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 75/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 65/100
- Governance: 80/100
- Market Confidence: 70/100