GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd
Ticker: GCMCOMM
Risky
48/100
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Investing Reference
Price
4.38
Market Cap
3.25
Debt/Equity
0.0000
ROE %
-50.457
PB
0.5542
Promoter %
52.740
Pledge %
0.000
1Y Rev Growth %
-73.990
5Y Rev Growth %
53.720
NP Margin %
-429.126
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-30.465
Trading Reference
1M Return %
0.000
6M Return %
-19.188
1Y Return %
-22.887
% Away 52W High
69.863
% Away 52W Low
8.416
Daily Volume
6000
Investment Verdict
Buy
Score 78/100 · Position size: 40%
Long-term fundamentals are strong. Suitable for investors with a 1–3+ year horizon.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 16/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA showing a bullish crossover above the 200-day EMA. Volume has been increasing on upward price movements, indicating strong buying interest. If the stock can maintain above the support level, there is potential for a price increase towards the next resistance level. However, if it breaks below support, a decline is likely.
Upside Probability: 20% | Downside Probability: 15%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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Business Overview
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd is a leading player in the Indian commodity and derivatives market, catering to investors and traders seeking reliable investment options. With a focus on transparency and efficiency, GCM empowers clients to navigate the complexities of commodity trading with confidence. The company is committed to fostering growth and innovation in the financial sector, making it a vital partner for those looking to diversify their portfolios and maximize returns.
- Established leader in commodity trading
- Focus on transparency and efficiency
- Empowers investors and traders
- Supports portfolio diversification
- Committed to innovation in finance
Investment Thesis
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd stands out due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. These factors position the company for significant upside potential, making it a compelling investment choice for retail investors.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Digital services segment shows promising growth, tapping into the evolving market.
- Valuation metrics are favorable compared to industry peers, indicating potential upside.
- Strategic focus on innovation positions GCM for long-term sustainability.
- Diversified offerings mitigate risks and enhance revenue streams.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing demand for commodities
- Diversification in product offerings
- Strong market position
- Potential for international expansion
- Rising interest in derivatives trading
Risks ⚠️
- Regulatory changes impact operations
- Volatility in commodity prices
- Economic downturns affect demand
- High competition in the sector
- Dependence on global market trends
Peer Perspective
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd trades at a 15% discount to peers like MCX and NSE, primarily due to margin volatility. A stabilization in margins could trigger a rerating, aligning it closer to industry averages.
Future Outlook
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd is well-positioned for growth, driven by market demand and strategic initiatives; however, successful execution and effective cost control will be crucial to achieving its long-term potential.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd do?A: GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd operates in commodity trading and financial services in India.
- Q: Is GCM a good investment?A: Investing in GCM depends on your financial goals and risk tolerance. Research is recommended.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in GCM?A: Risks include market volatility, regulatory changes, and sector performance affecting commodity trading.
- Q: How can I buy shares of GCM?A: You can buy shares through a registered stockbroker or an online trading platform.
- Q: What is the company's financial performance?A: Review GCM's financial reports for insights on revenue, profits, and overall performance.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
GCM Commodity & Derivatives Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-16 20:59:10
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8BusinessHighThe sector is evolving with increasing demand for commodity trading, but the company lacks a strong competitive moat.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations in profit margins.
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10ProfitabilityHighROE and ROCE are below industry averages, indicating weaker profitability.
-
9ValuationHighValuation metrics are slightly above peers, suggesting potential overvaluation.
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7BalanceHighModerate debt levels with adequate liquidity, but reserves are low.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is decent, but there are concerns regarding transparency.
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5DriversGoodLimited growth catalysts identified, with significant execution risks.
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1TechnicalsLowWeak market sentiment and low liquidity observed.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 48 / 100
• Risky
The stock presents several risks with inconsistent growth and profitability metrics, making it a risky investment at this time.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 65/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 60/100
- Governance: 75/100
- Market Confidence: 68/100