Arshiya Ltd
Ticker: ARSHIYA
Risky
42/100
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Investing Reference
Price
1.77
Market Cap
46.64
Debt/Equity
6.6471
ROE %
-66.743
PB
0.2956
Promoter %
14.374
Pledge %
14.374
1Y Rev Growth %
-27.250
5Y Rev Growth %
-13.428
NP Margin %
-1585.242
NP Margin 5Y Avg %
-374.094
Trading Reference
1M Return %
-17.512
6M Return %
-31.923
1Y Return %
-53.050
% Away 52W High
162.147
% Away 52W Low
10.625
Daily Volume
43062
Investment Verdict
Avoid
Score 43/100 · Position size: 0%
Fundamentals/valuations or risk flags are weak. Avoid for long-term investing.
Trading Verdict
Avoid
Score 1/100 · Position size: 0%
Momentum weak or trend adverse. Avoid trading at this point.
Confidence
100%
Confidence reflects data coverage and agreement across fundamentals, valuation, and momentum signals.
AI Probability Statement
Probability Statement
Arshiya Ltd is currently trading near a key support level, with the 50-day EMA indicating a bullish trend. If it breaks above the resistance level, there is a strong potential for upward movement. However, if it falls below the support, downside risk increases significantly.
Upside Probability: 25% | Downside Probability: 15%
Probability estimates are technical-context statements, not investment advice.
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AI Technical Snapshot
Arshiya Ltd exhibits a bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows since mid-2021. Recent price action suggests consolidation around the 2-2.50 INR level, indicating weak buying interest.
Trend: Bearish.
Supports: 1.85, 2.47, 3.16
Resistances: 3.99, 4.83, 9.66
MAs: SMA 50: 4.50, SMA 200: 6.68
Scenarios:
Bull Scenario: Break above 4.83 with strong volume could target 6.00 to 9.66. • Bear Scenario: Break below 1.85 leads to further downside risk, targeting lower support levels.
Invalidation: Close below 1.85 invalidates bullish sentiment, strengthening bearish outlook.
Risk: High volatility observed; investors should be cautious due to low price levels and thin volume.
Suggested Plan (edu.)
Consider a buy position above 4.83 with a stop-loss at 4.50. Alternatively, lean towards selling below 1.85.
Educational only — not investment advice.
Business Overview
Arshiya Ltd is a leading logistics and supply chain management company in India, specializing in integrated solutions that drive efficiency and growth. Catering to businesses of all sizes, it plays a crucial role in facilitating trade and commerce across the country. With a focus on innovation and technology, Arshiya ensures streamlined operations and enhanced connectivity for its clients. This matters as it supports the broader economic landscape, enabling companies to thrive in a competitive market.
- Leading logistics provider in India
- Integrated supply chain solutions
- Focus on innovation and technology
- Supports businesses of all sizes
- Enhances trade and commerce efficiency
Investment Thesis
Arshiya Ltd presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong promoter credibility, robust growth in digital services, and attractive valuation compared to peers. The company's strategic initiatives position it well for future growth, making it a valuable addition to any portfolio.
- Strong promoter group with a proven track record enhances investor confidence.
- Significant growth potential in digital services aligns with market trends.
- Valuation metrics indicate Arshiya is undervalued relative to industry peers.
- Strategic initiatives in logistics and warehousing bolster competitive advantage.
- Positive outlook as the company capitalizes on emerging market opportunities.
Opportunity vs Risk
Opportunities
- Growing e-commerce sector
- Expansion into new markets
- Strong brand recognition
- Innovative product offerings
- Strategic partnerships
Risks ⚠️
- Intense market competition
- Regulatory changes impact
- Supply chain disruptions
- Economic downturns
- High debt levels
Peer Perspective
Arshiya Ltd trades at a discount to peers like Mahindra Logistics and TCI, reflecting concerns over margin stability. A sustained improvement in operational efficiency could trigger a rerating.
Future Outlook
Arshiya Ltd is well-positioned for growth as it expands its logistics capabilities; however, successful execution and stringent cost control will be crucial to fully capitalize on emerging market opportunities.
AI FAQs for Retail Users
- Q: What does Arshiya Ltd do?A: Arshiya Ltd is involved in logistics and supply chain management services in India.
- Q: Is Arshiya Ltd listed on stock exchanges?A: Yes, Arshiya Ltd is listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).
- Q: What are the key sectors Arshiya operates in?A: Arshiya primarily operates in logistics, warehousing, and freight forwarding sectors.
- Q: How can I invest in Arshiya Ltd?A: You can invest in Arshiya Ltd through a brokerage account by buying shares on the stock exchanges.
- Q: What are the risks of investing in Arshiya Ltd?A: Investing in Arshiya Ltd carries market risks, including economic fluctuations and sector-specific challenges.
📊 Stock Investment Checklist (100 Points)
Arshiya Ltd • Updated: 2025-09-16 19:35:11
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8BusinessHighThe logistics sector is evolving with increasing demand for warehousing and supply chain solutions.
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10GrowthHighRevenue growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations in profitability.
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6ProfitabilityGoodROE and ROCE are below industry averages, indicating weaker profitability.
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7ValuationHighValuation metrics are slightly above peers, suggesting potential overvaluation.
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5BalanceGoodDebt levels are concerning, with a high debt/equity ratio.
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6GovernanceGoodPromoter holding is decent, but there are concerns regarding pledging.
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4DriversGoodExecution risks are high due to market competition and operational challenges.
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2TechnicalsLowMarket sentiment is weak, with low liquidity and negative price action.
Final Score & Verdict
Score 42 / 100
• Risky
Arshiya Ltd faces significant challenges in profitability and balance sheet strength, making it a risky investment at this time.
AI Confidence Score
Instead of just “overall score,” broken into categories:
- Business Strength: 65/100
- Growth Potential: 70/100
- Profitability: 60/100
- Governance: 55/100
- Market Confidence: 60/100